Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.000552 0.000638 0.000730 0.000834 0.000949 0.001073 0.001215
2025-06-22 0.000418 0.000534 0.000668 0.000831 0.001023 0.001241 0.001505
2025-06-29 0.000343 0.000470 0.000624 0.000821 0.001062 0.001346 0.001700
2025-07-06 0.000283 0.000415 0.000583 0.000805 0.001087 0.001430 0.001870
2025-07-13 0.000252 0.000391 0.000573 0.000824 0.001152 0.001560 0.002095
2025-07-20 0.000224 0.000367 0.000561 0.000837 0.001207 0.001676 0.002305
2025-07-27 0.000193 0.000335 0.000535 0.000828 0.001230 0.001751 0.002462
2025-08-03 0.000166 0.000304 0.000507 0.000811 0.001241 0.001809 0.002596
2025-08-10 0.000150 0.000288 0.000498 0.000821 0.001286 0.001911 0.002791
2025-08-17 0.000134 0.000270 0.000485 0.000823 0.001320 0.001998 0.002965
2025-08-24 0.000113 0.000243 0.000453 0.000795 0.001309 0.002023 0.003056
2025-08-31 0.000096 0.000219 0.000425 0.000770 0.001300 0.002048 0.003146
2025-09-07 0.000085 0.000204 0.000412 0.000768 0.001325 0.002123 0.003307
2025-09-14 0.000075 0.000191 0.000400 0.000767 0.001350 0.002198 0.003472
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000177 0.000384 0.000757 0.001362 0.002254 0.003608
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000162 0.000366 0.000742 0.001364 0.002294 0.003724
2025-10-05 0.000053 0.000158 0.000367 0.000760 0.001419 0.002414 0.003955
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000152 0.000365 0.000772 0.001464 0.002519 0.004167
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000142 0.000352 0.000763 0.001475 0.002573 0.004304
2025-10-26 0.000036 0.000130 0.000336 0.000748 0.001473 0.002608 0.004414
2025-11-02 0.000033 0.000125 0.000333 0.000757 0.001513 0.002706 0.004619
2025-11-09 0.000030 0.000119 0.000326 0.000759 0.001540 0.002785 0.004796
2025-11-16 0.000025 0.000107 0.000306 0.000733 0.001518 0.002787 0.004857